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走进我的交易室 中英对照版-第章

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account grows much larger。
比如,标准普尔500,1个点的变化就等于标准普尔股指期货的250元。正常情况下一天波动5点会导致资金1250元的变化,是30000元账户的4%的风险。对于小账户,2%原则限制了很多昂贵的市场。咖啡,大豆,外汇,很多都不能做,除非你账户变大了。
1。 Download two years’ history in corn; sugar; and copper。 Corn is the least volatile of grains; and sugar is the least volatile tropical。 Both are very liquid; permitting easy entries and exits; unlike other inexpensive markets; such as orange juice; whose thin volume exposes traders to bad slippage。 Copper is liquid and tends to be relatively quiet; except during economic booms。 E…minis; electronically traded index futures; are good for futures traders interested in the stock market。 Download two data series for each contract: at least two years of continuous data for weekly charts and six months of the front month data for daily charts。
2。 Test several EMAs to determine which does the best job of tracking trends on the weekly charts。 Do a similar job with the daily charts。 Find the best channels for each market; especially for the past three months on the daily charts。 Those channels must contain 90 to 95 percent of recent market action。 The past three months are the most relevant; but it is a good idea to go back two years in your channel research to prepare yourself for their dramatic expansions and contractions。 Many traders lose their bearings when markets change。 If you know your history; you’ll feel less surprised。
下载玉米,白糖和铜2年的历史数据。谷物中玉米的波动最小,白糖是热带作物中波动最小的。2者的流动性都很好,可以很轻松地进出,不像其它便宜的市场,比如橙汁,它的交易量太小,交易者的滑点亏损严重。铜的流动性好,除非经济火热,一般很平静。电子迷你合约,就是电子交易的股指期货合约,适合喜欢股市的期货交易者。每个合约都要下载2年的连续数据:周线图至少2年连续数据,日线图半年的数据。
在周线图上测试不同的均线,看看哪个最容易跟踪趋势。在日线图上做类似的工作。为每个市场找到最好的通道,优势是日线图上过去3个月的通道。这些通道必须包含最近市场波动的90%——95%。过去3个月是最相关的,但是从2年前开始研究通道是比较好的,为突然的上涨和下跌做好准备。很多交易者因为市场的变化而发怒。如果你了解历史,你不会觉得太吃惊。
WEEKLY ACTIONS
每周的工作
Review the weekly charts of your markets and determine their trends。 When the weekly trend is up; proceed to the daily charts and look for buying opportunities。 When the weekly is down; look for shorting opportunities。 If the weekly trend is unclear; either leave that market alone or go directly to the daily charts。
分析市场的周线图,确定它们的趋势。当周线趋势上涨时,回到日线图找买入机会。当周线下跌时,寻找做空机会。如果周线趋势不明显,要么放弃这个市场,要么直接看日线图。
You can define weekly trends by using the slope of an EMA; or you can be more inventive; especially if you track just a few markets。 For example; you can use both the EMA and the MACD…Histogram to identify trends。 When both indicators move in the same direction; they signal extra strong moves。
你可以使用均线的坡度来定义周线趋势,你也可以在跟踪新市场时自己发明方法。比如,你可以同时使用均线和MACD柱确认趋势。当2个指标指向同一个方向时,是超大波动的信号。
DAILY ACTIONS
每天的工作
Again; to streamline our discussion; we will only discuss buying; but the same logic applies to shorting。 Every futures trader must be fortable with shorting。 These markets have no uptick rule; and the number of short positions always equals that of longs。
同理,为了方便讨论,我们只谈做多的情况,做空一样适用。每个期货交易者必须适应做空。期货市场没有上涨做空法律,而且空头仓位和多头仓位一样多。
1。 Apply the Impulse System。 When both the EMA and MACD…Histogram rise; they give a strong buy signal。
2。 Go long the following day; but do not buy above the upper channel line。
采用动力系统。当均线和MACD柱上涨时,它们给出了很强的买入信号。
第二天做多,但不要在通道上线买入。
This aggressive entry aims to capture high…speed impulse moves。 You will have to research and test this idea in the market you want to trade at the moment。 Avoid the trap of mechanical systems that people trade long after the markets have changed。
这个激进的进场是为了抓住高速的冲动波动。你要提前在市场研究和测试这个方法。避免机械系统的陷阱,市场早就变了,它还在做多。
Before you enter a trade; calculate where to put your stop。 See what percentage of capital you will risk in that trade。 Decide whether your money management rules allow you to take it。 Does the 6% Rule allow you to trade? For example; if you’ve lost 3。5% of your account this month and have an open trade with 2% of equity at risk; no new trade may be opened because it would risk more than 6% of your equity。
在进场钱,你要计算何处止损。搞清楚风险占资金的百分比。看看你的资金管理原则是否同意你做交易。6%原则让你交易吗?比如,如果本月你已经亏损了账户的3。5%,还有一个仓位承受着2%的风险,此时不能再建仓了,否则就违反了6%的原则。
2。 Set a stop using the SafeZone indicator on the daily chart。
在日线图上用安全区域指标设置止损。
If your stop placement allows you to take the trade; place the buy order。 As soon as you have your confirmation; place your stop。 Recalculate your stop and place a new one each day。 Don’t allow a sudden violent move to blow through a mental stop while you’re not watching。
如果止损点显示可以交易,下单买入。一旦订单确认了,下单止损。每天重新计算止损,重新止损。不要在你盯盘的时候让突然出现的剧烈波动把你的思想止损给扫掉了。
Take your profit before the close of the day during which the daily screen goes off its buy signal。 This means you have to calculate your formula a few minutes before the close。 The upper channel line on the daily chart is too modest a target when you are fishing for an impulse move。 Stay with the trade as long as the buy signal stays in force。 Be sure to test this approach。
日线买入信号消失时,就要在收盘前兑现利润。这表明你要在收盘前用公式计算。如果你是跟踪冲动波动,日线图上的通道上线是可靠的目标。只要买入信号还在,可以继续持有。一定要先测试这个方法。
This plan bines inviolate rules with remendations that encourage you to use your judgment。 Using multiple timeframes; following money management rules; using stops; and scrupulously keeping records are non…negotiable。 Choosing the markets; the entry points; and the profit targets and deciding what size to trade … these all depend on your judgment。
这个计划包含了不可违背的原则,就是鼓励你自己判断是否采用它的建议。使用不同的时间周期,运用资金管理原则,止损,认真做交易记录,这些都是不可以违背的。选择市场,进场点,利润目标,仓位大小——这些依靠你的判断。
Expect to modify your plan as you continue to research the markets and as your expertise grows。 Remember to write down any changes; and record your development as a trader。 Be sure to add short selling to your plan because this is an integral part of trading futures。
当你继续深入研究市场,当你经验增长时,你要修正你的计划。记得写下所有的变化,记下你的发展。还要在你的计划里加入做空的部分,因为这是完整期货交易的一部分。
At some point you may want to design a flowchart of your decision…making process; along these lines:
有时候你想设计一个决策流程图,像这样:
Does the 6% Rule allow me to trade? 
If No; stand aside; if Yes:
6%原则是否同意交易?
如果否,观望;如果是:
Is the weekly chart giving a signal?
If No; move to the next market; if Yes:
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