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走进我的交易室 中英对照版-第章

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我交易日记中的图表用彩色印刷,我用手做了标记。评语,写在空白处,电报体,缩写。为了出版,我做了手工图,我宁愿用黑白印刷,不想用彩色,同时增加了我的平均,以方便阅读。
Showing strangers your trading diary feels almost like inviting them into the bedroom during an intimate moment。 As we grow older; we care less and less about what others think of us; I do not believe I could have shown you my diary just a few years ago。
给陌生人看自己的交易日记,感觉就像邀请他们到我的卧室。当我们年老时,我们越来越不在乎别人怎么说我们了。几年前,我也不会给你看我的日记。
The key question is; What are you going to do with it? Will you casually flip through the pages? Will you go through them slowly; evaluating each trading signal? Will you feel overwhelmed? Will you feel critical; especially of trades with less than perfect scores? Before I turn my records of six recent trades over to you; I have just one question。 Will you be keeping your own diary? If my example has inspired you; I will have achieved my goal。
关键问题是,你要怎么办?你是随便翻翻吗?你会认真通读吗,评估每个交易信号?你会感觉无法相信吗?当你看见得分不高的交易,你会觉得重要吗?当我把最近6个交易记录告诉你之前,我有一个问题。你会自己做交易日记吗?如果我的例子能启发你,我就实现了目标。
Trade 1 … Long CSCO
交易1——做多思科
The stock market has been falling for a year; accelerating in recent months。 In a Traders’ Camp a month prior to this trade I asked a guest instructor; a famous expert; what panies will be left standing at the bottom of a severe economic; as well as financial; decline; that is; what stocks to buy amid the ruins。 His answer … BGEN; CSCO; and IBM。 I included all three in my weekly scan of the market。
股市跌了一年,最近几个月加速下跌。在做这个交易之前的一个月,在交易者训练营,我问一个客座老师,他是著名的专家,在艰难的经济底部,金融下跌的时候,什么公司会站起来,也就是说,在废墟中买什么股票。他的答案是——生物科技,思科和IBM。我把这3只股票作为我每周观察的对象。

Figure 10。1 Weekly Entry
图10。1 周线图上的进场点

Figure 10。2 Daily Entry 1
图10。2 日线图上的进场点1

Figure 10。3 Daily Entry 2
图10。3 日线图上的进场点2
ENTRY
进场
Weekly: CSCO has lost over 85% of its value; but this pany is not going to disappear like some silly dot…。 Weekly trading ranges have bee narrow; the bars near the right edge are only a couple of dollars wide; pared with 10 bars a year ago。 This is a sign that speculative excesses have been squeezed out。 Weekly MACD…Histogram has been rising for the past six weeks at the right edge … bullish。 Weekly price is as far below its EMA as it was above it at the top in 2000; the “rubber band” that connects price to the EMA is overextended; ready to snap back。
周线图:思科下跌超过85%,但这个公司不会像一些傻瓜式的互联网公司一样消失。周线图上的波动区间变窄了,在图的右边,竹线只有几元的高度,1年前一条竹线有10元高。这说明很多投机者已经出场了。周线图上,右边,MACD柱已经涨了6周——多头。周线图上,2000年成顶以后,价格一直在均线下面。连接价格和均线的“橡皮筋”拉的太长,准备弹回来。
Daily: Massive bullish divergence between price and MACD…Histogram。 See how strong bears were at bottom A; weaker at bottom B; and now; at C; with prices much lower; bears hardly have any power。 Moreover; there is a rarely seen bullish divergence B…C between price and MACD…Lines。 Triple bullish divergence A…B…C between two…day Force Index and price shows that each recent attempt to drive prices lower was weaker than before。 This divergence is shouting to buy now because it reveals that bears are out of steam and bulls are about to seize control。
日线图:价格和MACD柱形成了严重的看涨背离。看看空头在A点是多么强,在B点变弱了,现在在C点,价格更低,空头已经没劲了。另外,B,C之间价格和MACD线也形成了一个不容易看见的看涨背离。A,B,C之间2日力量指数和价格的3个看涨背离说明每一次砸盘的力量都在减弱。这个背离大喊买入,因为它表明空头没力气了,多头要接受控制权了。
Action: Long on 4/9/2001 at 13。91; with a stop at 13。18; below the latest low。
交易计划:200年4月9日以13。91的价格买入,止损在13。18,比最新的低点低的地方。

Figure 10。4 Exit
图10。4 出场
EXIT
出场
Daily: Prices snapped back slightly above their EMA; working off the over…sold condition; and appear to have stalled。 The two…day Force Index is tracing a bearish divergence A…B; showing that the rally of the past three days is weaker than during the previous week。
日线图:价格反弹,涨到均线上面一点点,超卖不再严重,似乎要停下来了。2日力量指数在AB区间跟踪到看跌背离,表明过去3天的反弹比之前一周要弱。
Action: Sold longs on 4/20/2001 at 18。85。 Trade rating 55% (took 4。94 out of a 9…point channel)。
交易计划:在2001年4月20日以18。85的价格卖出。交易得分55%(9点的通道宽度,赚了4。94点)。
Trade 2 … Long GX
交易2——做多横穿全球电信公司
Different stocks often trace similar patterns within a few days of each other。 If you figure out what the leaders are doing; you can start looking for similar patterns in the laggards。 A friend drew my attention to GX when she called to ask my opinion on a handful of stocks that she liked。 Its patterns looked remarkably similar to CSCO; which was already running in my favor。
不同的股票会在几天内互相走类似的路线。如果你知道领头羊是怎么走的,你可以期待落后的股票也走类似的模式。一个朋友给我打电话,问我对一大把股票有什么看法,横穿全球引起了我的注意。它的模式看起来像思科,思科已经为我赚钱了。

Figure 10。5 Weekly Entry
图10。5 周线图 进场点

Figure 10。6 Daily Entry 1
图10。6 日线图进场点1

Figure 10。7 Daily Entry 2
图10。7 日线图进场点2
ENTRY
进场
Weekly: GX has lost over 80% of its value。 Prices are as deep below their weekly EMA as they have ever been; just above the 10 psychological support level。 Both MACD…Histogram and MACD…Lines are tracing massive bullish divergences (A…B…C and B…C; respectively)。
周线图:横穿全球下跌了80%。价格跌到了有史以来的均线下面,仅仅在10元心理支撑上面一点。MACD柱和MACD线都跟踪到了巨大的看涨背离(分别在A…B…C和B…C)。
Daily: Bullish divergence between MACD…Histogram and price A…B shows that bears are being weaker; prices are falling out of inertia; and no great selling pressure exists。 Seven trading days ago there was a false breakout below 10; and the rightmost bar is declining to retest that level。 The bottom of the previous week’s break provides a logical stop…loss point。 The two…day Force Index is tracing a triple bullish divergence A…B…C; showing that bears have no force … it is a screaming buy。 Expect prices to snap above their EMA。
日线图:A…B区域MACD柱和价格之间的看涨别离表明空头变弱,价格惯性下跌结束,没有大的卖压。7个交易日钱,在10以下有个假突破,最右边的竹线下跌,再次测试这个水平。上周的底部缺口是合理的止损点。2日力量指数跟踪到了3个看涨背离A…B…C,表明空头没力气了——绝对是买点。期待价格涨到均线以上。
Action: Long on 4/16/2001 at 10。05; with a stop at 8。76; below the latest low。
交易计划:2001年4月16日在10。05做多,止损在8。76,低于最近的低点。

Figure 10。8 Exit
图10。8 出场点
EXIT
出场
Daily: The rally is stalling; as prices have snapped back slightly above their EMA。 The two…day Force Index is tracing a bearish divergence A…B; showing that the rally at the right edge is running out of steam。
日线图:反弹停止了,价格涨到均线上面一点点。在A…B区域,2日力量指数跟踪到了看跌被俩,表明图右边的翻天结束了。
Action: Sold longs on 4/27/2001 at 11。47。 Tra
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