ÓÑÇéÌáʾ£ºÈç¹û±¾ÍøÒ³´ò¿ªÌ«Âý»òÏÔʾ²»ÍêÕû£¬Çë³¢ÊÔÊó±êÓÒ¼ü¡°Ë¢Ð¡±±¾ÍøÒ³£¡ÔĶÁ¹ý³Ì·¢ÏÖÈκδíÎóÇë¸æËßÎÒÃÇ£¬Ð»Ð»£¡£¡ ±¨¸æ´íÎó
ÈÙÒ«µç×ÓÊé ·µ»Ø±¾ÊéĿ¼ ÎÒµÄÊé¼Ü ÎÒµÄÊéÇ© TXTÈ«±¾ÏÂÔØ ½øÈëÊé°É ¼ÓÈëÊéÇ©

×ß½øÎҵĽ»Ò×ÊÒ ÖÐÓ¢¶ÔÕÕ°æ-µÚÕÂ

°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡û »ò ¡ú ¿É¿ìËÙÉÏÏ·­Ò³£¬°´¼üÅÌÉ쵀 Enter ¼ü¿É»Øµ½±¾ÊéĿ¼ҳ£¬°´¼üÅÌÉÏ·½Ïò¼ü ¡ü ¿É»Øµ½±¾Ò³¶¥²¿£¡
¡ª¡ª¡ª¡ªÎ´ÔĶÁÍꣿ¼ÓÈëÊéÇ©ÒѱãÏ´μÌÐøÔĶÁ£¡



Ï°­£¬µ«»¹ÓÐÆäËüÔ­Òò¡£ÈËÃÇÓÃÏÖ½ðÂò¹ÉƱһ°ãºÜÇáËÉ£¬ÏëÂò¶àÉÙ¾ÍÂò¶àÉÙ¡£Óñ£Ö¤½ðµÄ½»Ò×ÕßÒ»°ãѹÁ¦´ó¡£½ôÕŵĽ»Ò×ÕßÊÇÓÐÂé·³µÄ½»Ò×Õß¡£×îºÃÊÇÓжàÉÙÇ®Âò¶àÉÙ£¬¼ÓÇ¿¼¼Êõ£¬Ç®¾ÍÀ´ÁË¡£
The¡¡sheer¡¡number¡¡of¡¡stocks¡¡drives¡¡people¡¡to¡¡distraction¡£¡¡Beginners¡¡throw¡¡their¡¡arms¡¡in¡¡the¡¡air¡¡and¡¡beg¡¡for¡¡a¡¡list¡¡of¡¡stocks¡¡to¡¡follow¡£¡¡A¡¡disciplined¡¡trader¡¡makes¡¡several¡¡choices¡¡that¡¡help¡¡him¡¡concentrate¡£¡¡He¡¡begins¡¡by¡¡selecting¡¡an¡¡industry¡¡group¡¡or¡¡groups¡¡and¡¡then¡¡zeros¡¡in¡¡on¡¡individual¡¡stocks¡£
¹ÉƱÈÃÈËÃdzäÂúÏëÏó¡£ÐÂÊÖË«ÊÖÏòÌìÆíµ»¸øËûһЩÏûÏ¢¹É¡£ÓмÍÂɵĽ»Ò×Õßͨ¹ý¼¸¸öÑ¡ÔñÒÔʹ×Ô¼º¾Û½¹¡£ËûÏÈÑ¡ÔñһЩ¹¤Òµ¹É»ò¹ÉƱ³Ø£¬È»ºóµ¥¶ÀÑо¿¡£
A¡¡beginner¡¡should¡¡start¡¡with¡¡one¡¡or¡¡two¡¡groups£»¡¡an¡¡intermediate¡¡trader¡¡can¡¡go¡¡up¡¡to¡¡four¡¡or¡¡five£»¡¡and¡¡an¡¡expert¡¡knows¡¡how¡¡many¡¡he¡¡can¡¡handle¡£¡¡Chances¡¡are£»¡¡he¡¡sticks¡¡to¡¡the¡¡few¡¡groups¡¡he¡¡knows¡¡well¡£¡¡Begin¡¡by¡¡choosing¡¡a¡¡group¡¡that¡¡you¡¡think¡¡has¡¡a¡¡great¡¡future¡¡or¡¡one¡¡in¡¡which¡¡you¡¡have¡¡a¡¡personal¡¡interest¡£¡¡For¡¡example£»¡¡you¡¡may¡¡decide¡¡to¡¡concentrate¡¡on¡¡biotechnology¡¡because¡¡of¡¡its¡¡promise¡¡or¡¡the¡¡hospitality¡¡industry¡¡because¡¡that¡¯s¡¡where¡¡you¡¡work¡£
ÐÂÊÖÓ¦¸ÃÑ¡Ôñ1£¬2¸ö¹ÉƱ³Ø£¬ºÃµãµÄ½»Ò×Õß¿ÉÒÔÑ¡Ôñ4£¬5¸ö¹ÉƱ³Ø£¬×¨ÒµÈËÊ¿ÖªµÀËû¿ÉÒÔ´¦Àí¶àÉÙ¸ö¡£×îºÃÊÇ£¬Ñ¡Ôñ×Ô¼ºÊìϤµÄÐÐÒµ¡£Ñ¡ÔñÄãÈÏΪÓÐǰ;µÄÐÐÒµ£¬»òÕßÊÇÄãϲ»¶µÄÐÐÒµ¡£±ÈÈ磬ÄãÒ²ÐíÏë¹Ø×¢ÓÚÉúÎï¿Æ¼¼£¬»òÕßÊǾƵêÐÐÒµ£¬ÒòΪÄãÔÚÕâ¸öÐÐÒµ¹¤×÷¡£
Select¡¡a¡¡broad¡¡rather¡¡than¡¡a¡¡narrow¡¡group¡£¡¡For¡¡example£»¡¡if¡¡you¡¡decide¡¡to¡¡track¡¡autos£»¡¡look¡¡not¡¡just¡¡at¡¡car¡¡manufacturers£»¡¡but¡¡also¡¡at¡¡panies¡¡that¡¡make¡¡auto¡¡parts£»¡¡tires£»¡¡etc¡£¡¡The¡¡disadvantage¡¡of¡¡focusing¡¡on¡¡a¡¡single¡¡group¡¡is¡¡that¡¡you¡¡miss¡¡spectacular¡¡moves¡¡in¡¡others£»¡¡but¡¡there¡¡are¡¡several¡¡advantages¡£¡¡You¡¡learn¡¡which¡¡stocks¡¡tend¡¡to¡¡lead¡¡or¡¡follow¡£¡¡When¡¡leaders¡¡start¡¡to¡¡move£»¡¡they¡¡give¡¡you¡¡an¡¡advance¡¡signal¡¡to¡¡trade¡¡the¡¡laggards¡£¡¡You¡¡can¡¡use¡¡relative¡¡strength£»¡¡that¡¡is£»¡¡buy¡¡the¡¡strongest¡¡stocks¡¡when¡¡the¡¡group¡¡moves¡¡up¡¡and¡¡short¡¡the¡¡weakest¡¡on¡¡the¡¡way¡¡down¡£¡¡You¡¡can¡¡create¡¡an¡¡index¡¡that¡¡includes¡¡all¡¡the¡¡stocks¡¡you¡¡follow¡¡in¡¡your¡¡industry¡¡group£»¡¡and¡¡then¡¡analyze¡¡that¡¡index¡£¡¡This¡¡analytic¡¡tool¡¡is¡¡not¡¡available¡¡to¡¡any¡¡other¡¡trader¡£¡¡If¡¡you¡¡use¡¡fundamental¡¡analysis£»¡¡then¡¡having¡¡your¡¡finger¡¡on¡¡the¡¡pulse¡¡of¡¡a¡¡single¡¡industry£»¡¡such¡¡as¡¡software£»¡¡puts¡¡you¡¡miles¡¡ahead¡¡of¡¡petitors¡¡who¡¡trade¡¡Microsoft¡¡today¡¡and¡¡McDonald¡¯s¡¡tomorrow¡£
Ñ¡ÔñÒ»¸ö·¶Î§¹ãµÄÐÐÒµ£¬¶ø²»ÊÇÕ­µÄÐÐÒµ¡£±ÈÈ磬Èç¹ûÄãÑ¡ÔñÆû³µÐÐÒµ£¬²»Òª½ö½öÑо¿Æû³µ¹¤Òµ£¬»¹ÒªÑо¿Éú²úÆû³µÁã¼þ£¬ÂÖÌ¥µÄÐÐÒµµÈ¡£Ö»¹Ø×¢Ò»¸öÐÐÒµµÄÁÓÊƾÍÊÇÄã»á´í¹ýÆäËüÐÐÒµµÄ´ó²¨¶¯£¬»¹ÓÐÆäËüµÄÁÓÊÆ¡£Äã¿ÉÒÔÑо¿ÄÇЩ¹ÉƱÊÇÁìÍ·Ñò£¬ÄÇЩÊǸú×ÅÕǵģ¬È»ºóÔÙÑо¿Ö¸Êý¡£Ã»ÓÐÈËÓÐÕâÑùµÄ·ÖÎö¹¤¾ß¡£Èç¹ûÊÇʹÓûù±¾Ãæ·ÖÎö£¬Ñо¿×¨ÃŵÄÐÐÒµ£¬±ÈÈçÈí¼þÒµ£¬ÕâÑù¾Í±ÈÄÇЩ½ñÌì½»Ò×΢Èí£¬Ã÷Ìì½»Ò×Âóµ±À͵ĶÔÊÖÇ¿¶àÁË¡£
A¡¡broadly¡¡defined¡¡industry¡¡group¡¡may¡¡include¡¡over¡¡a¡¡hundred¡¡stocks£»¡¡but¡¡an¡¡intelligent¡¡beginner¡¡should¡¡not¡¡follow¡¡more¡¡than¡¡a¡¡dozen¡£¡¡We¡¡can¡¡divide¡¡all¡¡stocks¡¡into¡¡blue¡¡chips¡¡and¡¡speculative¡¡¡°cats¡¡and¡¡dogs¡£¡±¡¡Blue¡¡chips¡¡are¡¡the¡¡stocks¡¡of¡¡large£»¡¡well¡­established¡¡panies£»¡¡held¡¡by¡¡many¡¡institutions¡¡and¡¡followed¡¡by¡¡many¡¡researchers¡£¡¡They¡¡have¡¡a¡¡fairly¡¡well¡­established¡¡consensus¡¡of¡¡value¡¡around¡¡which¡¡they¡¡more¡¡or¡¡less¡¡gently¡¡oscillate¡£¡¡If¡¡you¡¡design¡¡a¡¡system¡¡for¡¡catching¡¡their¡¡swings¡¡several¡¡times¡¡each¡¡year£»¡¡the¡¡potential¡¡gains¡¡can¡¡be¡¡very¡¡attractive¡£¡¡Don¡¯t¡¡ignore¡¡the¡¡big¡¡Dow¡­type¡¡stocks¡£¡¡Their¡¡orderly¡¡swings¡¡from¡¡the¡¡moving¡¡average¡¡to¡¡the¡¡channel¡¡wall¡¡create¡¡good¡¡trading¡¡opportunities¡£
Ò»¸ö¿í¹ãµÄÐÐÒµÒ²Ðí°üÀ¨100¶à¸ö¹ÉƱ£¬µ«ÊÇ´ÏÃ÷µÄÐÂÊÖÖªµÀÖ»Òª¸ú×ÙÊ®¼¸¸ö¡£ÎÒÃÇ¿ÉÒ԰ѹÉƱ·ÖΪÀ¶³ï¹ÉºÍµÍ¼Û¹É¡£À¶³ï¹É¾ÍÊÇ´ó¹«Ë¾£¬ÖøÃû¹«Ë¾µÄ¹ÉƱ£¬ºÜ¶à»ú¹¹ºÍÑо¿Õ߶¼³ÖÓС£ËüÃǵļÛÖµºÃ£¬Õñµ´Ð¡¡£Èç¹ûÄãÄÜÉè¼ÆÒ»¸öϵͳ£¬Ò»Äêץס¼¸´Î²¨¶¯£¬ÕâÑùµÄÊÕÒæÒ²ºÜÎüÒýÈË¡£²»ÒªÍü¼ÇÁ˵ÀÇí˹ָÊýÀïÃæµÄ¹ÉƱ¡£ËüÃÇÔÚͨµÀÀïÓÐÐòµÄ²¨¶¯ÐγÉÁ˺ܺõĽ»Ò×»ú»á¡£
The¡¡so¡­called¡¡cats¡¡and¡¡dogs¡¡may¡¡spend¡¡months£»¡¡if¡¡not¡¡years£»¡¡flat¡¡at¡¡the¡¡bottom£»¡¡in¡¡a¡¡speculative¡¡doghouse£»¡¡until¡¡a¡¡fundamental¡¡change£»¡¡or¡¡even¡¡a¡¡rumor¡¡of¡¡change£»¡¡propels¡¡them¡¡to¡¡a¡¡breakout¡¡and¡¡a¡¡new¡¡uptrend¡£¡¡Other¡¡cats¡¡and¡¡dogs¡¡may¡¡go¡¡nowhere¡¡or¡¡expire¡£¡¡Those¡¡stocks¡¡offer¡¡much¡¡higher¡¡percentage¡¡gains¡¡than¡¡blue¡¡chips£»¡¡but¡¡the¡¡risks¡¡are¡¡greater¡¡and¡¡you¡¡must¡¡spend¡¡a¡¡great¡¡deal¡¡of¡¡time¡¡waiting¡¡for¡¡them¡¡to¡¡move¡£¡¡It¡¡makes¡¡sense¡¡to¡¡trade¡¡a¡¡large¡¡portion¡¡of¡¡your¡¡account¡¡in¡¡blue¡¡chips£»¡¡while¡¡keeping¡¡a¡¡smaller¡¡portion¡¡in¡¡longer¡­term¡¡speculative¡¡positions¡£
µÍ¼Û¹ÉÐèÒª¼¸¸öÔ£¬Èç¹û²»ÊǼ¸ÄêµÄ»°£¬Ôڵײ¿ºáÅÌ¡£Èç¹ûûÓлù±¾ÃæµÄ±ä»¯£¬»òÕßÊÇÒ¥ÑԵı仯£¬ÊÇûÈËÍƶ¯ËüÃÇÍ»ÆÆÐγÉÐÂÇ÷ÊƵġ£ÆäËüµÄµÍ¼Û¹ÉÒ²²»ÖªµÀ×ßÄÄÀïÈ¥ÁË£¬»òÕß¾ÍÍËÊÐÁË¡£ÕâÑùµÄ¹ÉƱ²úÉúµÄÊÕÒæ±ÈÀ¶³ï¹É¸ß£¬µ«ÊÇ·çÏÕÒ²´ó£¬ÄãÐèÒª´óÁ¿µÄʱ¼äµÈ´ýËüÃǵĶ¯×÷¡£ÀíÐÔµÄ×ö·¨ÊÇÓô󲿷ÖÇ®×öÀ¶³ï¹É£¬ÓÃС²¿·ÖÇ®×öͶ»ú¹É¡£
What¡¡if¡¡you¡¯ve¡¡paid¡¡your¡¡dues£»¡¡learned¡¡to¡¡trade¡¡a¡¡few¡¡stocks¡¡in¡¡a¡¡few¡¡groups£»¡¡and¡¡now¡¡want¡¡to¡¡forage¡¡in¡¡wider¡¡pastures£¿¡¡After¡¡all£»¡¡technical¡¡patterns¡¡and¡¡signals¡¡are¡¡not¡¡all¡¡that¡¡different¡¡in¡¡various¡¡markets¡£¡¡What¡¡if¡¡you¡¡want¡¡to¡¡scan¡¡a¡¡larger¡¡number¡¡of¡¡stocks¡¡for¡¡MACD¡¡divergences£»¡¡Impulse¡¡breakouts£»¡¡or¡¡other¡¡patterns¡¡that¡¡you¡¡learned¡¡to¡¡recognize£»¡¡trust£»¡¡and¡¡trade£¿
Èç¹ûÄãÒѾ­»¨ÁËһЩǮ£¬Ñо¿²¢½»Ò×ÁËһЩ¹ÉƱ£¬ÏÖÔÚÏëÀ©´óÑ°ÕÒ·¶Î§£¬»áÈçºÎ£¿×ÜÌå¶øÑÔ£¬¼¼ÊõģʽºÍÐźÅÔÚ²»Í¬Êг¡²»ÊÇÍêÈ«²»Í¬¡£Èç¹ûÄãÏëÓÃÄãѧ¹ýµÄMACD±³À룬ͻÆÆ»òÆäËüģʽÀ´·ÖÎö´óÁ¿¹ÉƱ£¬»áÈçºÎ£¿
Go¡¡on¡¡the¡¡Internet¡¡and¡¡find¡¡a¡¡website¡¡that¡¡gives¡¡you¡¡the¡¡100¡¡most¡¡active¡¡stocks¡¡on¡¡the¡¡NASDAQ¡¡£¨and¡¡if¡¡you¡¡do¡¡not¡¡know¡¡how¡¡to¡¡find¡¡such¡¡a¡¡website£»¡¡you¡¡haven¡¯t¡¡got¡¡what¡¡it¡¡takes¡¡to¡¡trade¡¡them£©¡£¡¡Keep¡¡an¡¡eye¡¡on¡¡any¡¡stock¡¡that¡¡floats¡¡by¡¡you¡£¡¡A¡¡newspaper¡¡article¡¡mentions¡¡several¡¡panies¡¡¡­¡¡look¡¡up¡¡their¡¡stocks¡£¡¡People¡¡at¡¡a¡¡party¡¡talk¡¡about¡¡stocks¡¡¡­¡¡jot¡¡them¡¡down£»¡¡drop¡¡them¡¡into¡¡your¡¡system£»¡¡and¡¡see¡¡how¡¡they¡¡look¡¡on¡¡your¡¡screen¡£¡¡Many¡¡tips¡¡call¡¡for¡¡an¡¡exercise¡¡of¡¡contrary¡¡thinking¡£¡¡In¡¡summer¡¡2001£»¡¡Lucent¡¡£¨LU£©¡¡was¡¡in¡¡the¡¡news¡¡with¡¡another¡¡earnings¡¡disappointment£»¡¡having¡¡slid¡¡from¡¡80¡¡to¡¡6¡£¡¡The¡¡journalists¡¡were¡¡aghast£»¡¡but¡¡that¡¡stock¡¡has¡¡pleted¡¡its¡¡bear¡¡market£»¡¡traced¡¡an¡¡attractive¡¡bullish¡¡divergence£»¡¡and¡¡was¡¡poised¡¡for¡¡a¡¡rally¡£¡¡A¡¡rise¡¡from¡¡6¡¡to¡¡9¡¡is¡¡a¡¡50£¥¡¡increase¡£¡¡Stocks¡¡that¡¡people¡¡tout¡¡at¡¡parties¡¡are¡¡often¡¡good¡¡candidates¡¡for¡¡shorting¡£¡¡By¡¡the¡¡time¡¡outsiders¡¡bee¡¡interested£»¡¡the¡¡rise¡¡tends¡¡to¡¡be¡¡over¡£¡¡The¡¡idea¡¡is¡¡to¡¡maintain¡¡your¡¡curiosity¡¡and¡¡use¡¡tips¡¡not¡¡on¡¡their¡¡face¡¡value¡¡but¡¡only¡¡as¡¡invitations¡¡to¡¡look¡¡at¡¡this¡¡or¡¡that¡¡stock¡£¡¡I¡¡find¡¡that¡¡my¡¡yield£»¡¡the¡¡percentage¡¡of¡¡tips¡¡that¡¡I¡¡end¡¡up¡¡trading¡¡in¡¡either¡¡direction£»¡¡is¡¡about¡¡5£¥¡¡¡­¡¡I¡¡end¡¡up¡¡trading¡¡one¡¡out¡¡of¡¡20¡£¡¡I¡¡have¡¡a¡¡friend£»¡¡a¡¡brilliant¡¡trader£»¡¡who¡¡often¡¡calls¡¡me¡¡asking¡¡to¡¡take¡¡a¡¡look¡¡at¡¡this¡¡or¡¡that¡¡stock¡£¡¡My¡¡yield¡¡on¡¡her¡¡tips¡¡is¡¡10£¥¡¡¡­¡¡she¡¡is¡¡the¡¡best¡£
ÉÏÍø£¬ÍøÉÏÓÐÍøÕ¾¸æËßÄãÄÉ˹´ï¿ËµÄ100Ö»×î»îÔ¾µÄ¹ÉƱ£¨Èç¹ûÄã²»»áÕÒ£¬ÄÇôÄã¾ÍûÓн»Ò׵Ļù´¡£©¡£×ÐϸÑо¿¹ÉƱ¡£±¨Ö½Ìáµ½Á˼¸¼Ò¹«Ë¾¡ª¡ª¿´¿´ËüÃǵĹÉƱ¡£¾Û»áʱÈËÃÇ̸µ½Á˼¸¸ö¹ÉƱ¡ª¡ªÕÒµ½ËüÃÇ£¬·ÅÈëÄãµÄϵͳ£¬¿´¿´ËüÃǵıíÏÖÈçºÎ¡£ÓÐЩÌáʾ¸æËßÎÒÃÇÒªÄæÏò˼¿¼¡£2001ÄêÏÄÌ죬ÐÂÎÅ˵ÀÊѶµÄÊÕÒæϽµ£¬¼Û¸ñ´Ó80µøµ½6¡£¼ÇÕ߶¼ÏÅ»µÁË£¬µ«ÊǹÉƱÒѾ­Íê³ÉÁËϵø£¬¸ú×Ùµ½ÁË¿´ÕDZ³À룬׼±¸ÉÏÕÇ¡£´Ó6Õǵ½9¾ÍµÈÓÚÕÇÁË50£¥¡£ÈËÃÇÔÚ¾Û»áÊÇÍƼöµÄ¹ÉƱһ°ãÊÇ×ö¿ÕµÄ±¸Ñ¡¹É¡£µ±ÍâÃæµÄÈ˶¼²úÉúÐËȤʱ£¬ÉÏÕÇÒ»°ã¿ì½áÊøÁË¡£Òª±£³ÖºÃÆ棬µ«²»Òª±»¹ÉƱµÄ±íÃæ¼ÛÖµÓ°Ï죬Ҫ¶à¿´¿´£¬ºÏÀíÀûÓÃÏûÏ¢¡£¸ù¾ÝÎҵľ­Ñ飬ÎÒÀûÓÃÏûÏ¢µÄ±ÈÀýÊÇ5£¥¡ª¡ª20¸öÏûÏ¢£¬ÎÒÖ»»á½»Ò×Ò»¸ö¡£ÎÒÓÐÒ»¸öÅóÓÑ£¬×ÜÊÇ´òµç»°¸øÎÒ£¬½ÐÎÒ¿´Õâ¸ö¹ÉƱ£¬¿´ÄǸö¹ÉƱ¡£ËýÌṩµÄÏûÏ¢£¬ÎÒ²ÉÓõıÈÀýÊÇ10£¥¡ª¡ªËýÊÇ×îºÃµÄ¡£
The¡¡Turnover¡¡Ratio The¡¡Turnover¡¡Ratio¡¡£¨TRO£©¡¡predicts¡¡expected¡¡volatility¡¡of¡¡any¡¡stock¡¡by¡¡paring¡¡its¡¡average¡¡daily¡¡volume¡¡with¡¡the¡¡available¡¡float¡£¡¡This¡¡formula¡¡was¡¡brought¡¡to¡¡my¡¡attention¡¡by¡¡Roger¡¡Perry¡¡of¡¡The¡¡RightLine¡¡Report¡¡£¨rightli
·µ»ØĿ¼ ÉÏÒ»Ò³ ÏÂÒ»Ò³ »Øµ½¶¥²¿ ÔÞ£¨2£© ²È£¨3£©
δÔĶÁÍꣿ¼ÓÈëÊéÇ©ÒѱãÏ´μÌÐøÔĶÁ£¡
ÎÂÜ°Ìáʾ£º ο´Ð¡ËµµÄͬʱ·¢±íÆÀÂÛ£¬Ëµ³ö×Ô¼ºµÄ¿´·¨ºÍÆäËüС»ï°éÃÇ·ÖÏíÒ²²»´íŶ£¡·¢±íÊéÆÀ»¹¿ÉÒÔ»ñµÃ»ý·ÖºÍ¾­Ñé½±Àø£¬ÈÏÕæдԭ´´ÊéÆÀ ±»²ÉÄÉΪ¾«ÆÀ¿ÉÒÔ»ñµÃ´óÁ¿½ð±Ò¡¢»ý·ÖºÍ¾­Ñé½±ÀøŶ£¡