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走进我的交易室 中英对照版-第章

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市场就像一个泵,它把大多数穷人口袋里面的钱泵到少数聪明人的口袋里。为市场服务的人,比如经纪人,商业机构,管理层,甚至包括为交易所扫地的人,他们都可以从市场的资金流中得到工资收入。由于市场从大多数人那里拿钱,给服务市场的人付工资,并把剩下来的钱给少数人,所以大部分人必须亏钱。无论大部分人做什么,信什么,说什么,都是没用的。你要离开大众,才能成功。当大部分人往一个方向走时,聪明的少数人则往相反的方向走。
In options the majority buys calls and; to a lesser degree; puts。 The insiders almost exclusively write options。 Professionals use their heads; while amateurs are driven by greed and fear。 Options take full advantage of those feelings。
在期权方面,大部分人买看涨期权,很少买看跌期权。内行的人则专门发行期权。专业人士利用大脑,而业余选手受贪婪和恐惧的驱动。期权正好利用了贪婪和恐惧。
Greed is the engine of option…selling propaganda。 You must have heard the slogan: “Control a large block of stock with just a few dollars!” An amateur may be bullish on a 60 stock; but doesn’t have 6;000 to buy 100 shares。 He buys some 70 calls with two months of life left in them for 500 each。 If that stock rises to 75; those options will acquire 500 of intrinsic value; while maintaining some time value; and a speculator can double his stake in a month! The amateur buys calls and sits back to watch his money double。
期权宣传的就是贪婪。你一定听过这个口号:“用很少的钱控制大量的股票!”一个业余选手可能会看涨一个60元的股票,但是他没有6000元买100股。他会买70元的看涨期权(张轶注:等于买了100只期权,对应100股股票),希望未来2个月分别涨500元。如果期权涨到75元,期权会增值500元,因为有时间价值,投机者可以在1个月让资金翻番!业余选手可以买看涨期权,并坐等自己的资金翻番。
Strange things begin to happen。 Whenever the stock rises two points; his calls go up only one; but when the stock falls or even pauses; his calls fall briskly。 Instead of seeing his money double in a hurry; the amateur is soon staring at a 50% paper loss; while the clock starts ticking louder and louder。 The expiration date is nearing; and even though the stock is higher than it was when he bought his calls; they are now cheaper; showing a paper loss。 Should he sell and salvage some money or hold and wait for a rally? Even if he knows the right thing to do; he’s not going to do it。 His greed does him in。 He hangs on until his options expire worthless。
很奇怪的事开始发生。不管什么时候,当股票涨2个点时,他的看涨期权只涨1个点,但是当股票下跌或横盘时,他的看涨期权却跌的很快。不但资金没有翻番,业余选手的资金却亏损了50%,时钟越来越响,时间不等人。到期日快接近了,虽然股票的价格比买看涨期权的时候涨了,但是还是便宜,不到行权价,产生了账面亏损。他是卖掉期权,拯救部分资金,还是等它涨呢?即使他知道做正确的事,他也不会去做。他的贪婪控制了他。他要一直等到期权过期,变得一文不值才放弃。
Another great motivator for buying options is fear; especially in options on futures。 A loser takes a few painful hits … his analysis was wet and money management nonexistent。 He sees an attractive trade but fears losing。 He hears the siren song … “unlimited gains with limited risk” … and buys options on futures。 Speculators buy options like poor people buy lottery tickets。 A person who buys a lottery ticket risks 100% of what he paid。 Any situation where you risk 100% looks like an odd case of limited risk。 Limited to 100%!?! Most speculators ignore this ominous figure。
另外一个买期权的动机就是恐惧,尤其是期货期权。输家要接受一些痛苦的提示——他的分析是错的,他没有资金管理。他能看见不错的交易机会,但是他害怕亏损。他听见了美女唱歌:“有限的风险,无限的收益”——然后买期货的期权。投机者买期权和穷人买彩票是一样的。买彩票,资金的风险是100%。100%的风险不是有限的风险。100%的风险?!大部分投机者忽略了这个恐怖的数字。
Option buyers have a dismal track record。 They may make a few dollars on a few trades; but I’ve never seen anyone build equity buying options。 The odds in this game are so bad that after a few trades they are sure to kick in and destroy a buyer。 At the same time; options have a high entertainment value。 They provide a cheap ticket to the game; an inexpensive dream; just like a lottery ticket。
买期权的人交易记录会显得糟糕。有少数交易会赚几元钱,但我从来没见过谁能靠期权赚钱。这个游戏的概率太差了,几次交易就能摧毁一个买家。同时,期权具有很高的娱乐价值。期权就是便宜的门票,让你去买昂贵的梦想,和彩票一样。
You need a minimum of one year of successful trading experience in stocks or futures before touching options。 If you are new to the markets; do not even dream of using options in lieu of stocks。 No matter how small your account; find some stocks and learn to trade them。
至少需要1年的时间,等你交易股票或期货成功了以后,才可以碰期权。如果你是新手,不要考虑利用期权代替股票。不管你的账户多么小,还是要先去找股票,并学习如何交易股票。
WHERE DO I GO FROM HERE? The all…time bestseller on options; and deservedly so; is Lawrence MacMillan’s Options as a Strategic Investment。 It is a veritable mini…encyclopedia that covers all aspects of options trading; better than his other book。
能告诉我如何开始吗?劳伦斯·麦克米伦写的《选择权投资策略》(张轶注:台湾译名)是期权方面的畅销书。这是真正的期权迷你百科全书,涵盖了期权交易的每个方面。作者的所有书里面这本是最好的。
CHAPTER THREE THE FIRST STEPS
第03章 第一步
Trading lures us with its promise of freedom。 If you know how to trade; you can live and work anywhere in the world; be independent from the routine; and not answer to anybody。 Trading attracts people of above…average intelligence who enjoy games and aren’t afraid of risks。 Before you rush into this exciting venture; keep in mind that in addition to your enthusiasm you will need to bring a sober understanding of the realities of trading。
交易可以帮助实现自由,所以它吸引了我们。如果你知道如何交易,你可以在全世界任何地方生活和工作,没有例行工作,不必理任何人。交易吸引了比较聪明的人,他们喜欢这个游戏,不怕风险。在你冒险之前,你要明白,除了激情,你还要透彻理解交易的现实。
Trading will stress your feelings。 To survive and succeed; you will need to develop a sound trading psychology。
交易会让你沮丧。如果要生存,要成功,你需要形成有效的交易心理。
Trading will challenge your mind。 To gain an edge in the markets; you will need to master good analytic methods。
交易会改变你的思想。要想在市场中获得优势,你需要掌握优秀的分析方法。
Trading will demand good mathematical skills。 A math illiterate who can’t manage risks is guaranteed to bust out。
交易需要优秀的数学能力。一个数学盲如果不能管理好风险,肯定会被踢出局。
Trading psychology; technical analysis; money management … if you learn all three; you can make it in trading。 But first; let us look at the external obstacles to your success。
交易心理、技术分析和资金管理——如果你都学会了,你就会成功。但是,让我们先看看成功的外部障碍。
The markets are set up to separate the maximum number of people from their money。 Stealing is not permitted; but markets are heavily slanted in favor of insiders and against outsiders。 Let us explore the barriers that prevent many traders from succeeding and try to lower them。
设置交易市场的目的就是掠夺大多数人的钱。偷是违法的,但是市场会帮助懂的人,并陷害不懂的人。让我们来寻找这些妨碍成功的路障,并尽量排除它们。
THE EXTERNAL BARRIERS TO SUCCESS
成功的外部障碍
An investor can start with practically nothing; buying a few thousand d
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