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走进我的交易室 中英对照版-第章

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early years of exchange…traded options。 By now the field is very crowded; and the returns have shrunk。 Naked writing; to be reviewed later involves selling options without owning the underlying securities; with writers backing up what they sell only with cash in their accounts。
发行持有标的期权的人拥有标的证券。比如,一个基金持有IBM股票,并卖出关于这个股票的看涨期权,希望股票的价格不到到达行权价,这样期权就作废了,他们就有了额外收入。如果IBM涨到了行权价,他们就卖出股票获得利润,用这个钱买其它的股票,再卖其它股票的看涨期权。在早年的交易所交易中,这种发行持有标的期权的办法很赚钱。现在做这个的人太多了,回报没那么多了。发行不持有标的期权,我们后面会谈,这个方法是在不持有标的证券的前提下卖期权,发行人仅仅用账户的钱做保证。
The above was a brief summary of option terms。 To learn more; please turn to the literature on options; listed at the end of this chapter。 Just watch out for the books that promise a “simple strategy for tripling your money in a year; working 15 minutes a day; with no math。” People who make money in options tend to be mathematically savvy and highly capitalized; the exact opposite of an average wide…eyed gambler who hopes to make a quick buck from his 5;000 stake。 Let us now review options strategies for buying and writing。
以上是对期权的短暂总结。如果想多学点,请去看关于期权的书,本章结尾会列出来。但是要警惕这样的承诺“简单的策略能保证1年3倍,1年工作15分钟,不必数学好。”在期权市场赚钱的人一般数学很好,资金充足。只有天真的赌徒才希望用5000元赚快钱。我们来总结买期权和发行期权的策略。
Buying Options … The Major Reversal Tactic It is harder to make money buying options than stocks。 You face all the usual problems; such as choosing the right stock; identifying its trend; and selecting entry and exit points。 In addition; you must worry how fast your stock will get where you expect it to go。 If you buy a rising stock and it takes five months instead of three to reach its target; you still have a winning trade。 Do the same with options; and they’ll expire worthless。 If you decide to buy more time by getting longer…term options; you’ll lose money in a different way; because those options are more expensive and move more slowly。 All options keep losing time value。 Poor beginners who buy them as a substitute for stocks rush in where the pros fear to tread!
买期权——重要的反转战术 买期权赚钱比买股票赚钱难。你要面对不寻常的问题,必须选择正确的股票,确认它的趋势,选择进场点,出场点。另外,你还要研究股票以多快的速度才能到达你的目标。如果你买了一只上涨的股票,它用了5个月,不是3个月涨到了你的目标,你是赚钱的。同样的方法用在期权上,它们却到期作废了。如果你想买到期日很长的期权,你可能在多种情况下亏钱,因为这样的期权很贵,动作很慢。所有的期权都在损失时间价值。可怜的新手为了替换股票跳进了专业人士都怕的市场。
Professionals tend to buy options only on special occasions; when they expect a major reversal; especially to the downside。 If you expect not a little downtrend in a stock but a massive crash; buying a put may be a good idea。 When a long…term trend begins to turn; especially near the top; it creates massive turbulence; like an ocean liner changing its course。 A stock may collapse today and soar tomorrow; only to collapse again。 When volatility goes through the roof; even well…heeled traders have trouble placing stops。 A stop belongs outside the zone of market noise; but where do you put it when the noise level rises to a roar? Options allow you to sidestep this problem; at a price which can only be covered by a major move。
专业人士仅在特殊情况下买期权,当他们期待主要反转的时候,尤其是下跌的时候买入。如果你不是期待股票的小跌,而是崩跌,那么买看跌期权是好主意。当长期趋势开始下跌时,尤其是顶部附近的下跌,它会产生很大的振荡,就像是海岸线改变了路线。股票也许会今天崩跌,明天飙涨,然后又崩跌。当波动穿破屋顶时,即使是有能力的交易者也不知道如何设置止损了。止损是市场噪音外的东西,但是在噪音冲天的市场该怎么办呢?期权能让你避免这个问题,在主趋势只能回补的价格下手。
Prices tend to fall twice as fast as they rise。 Greed; the dominant emotion of uptrends; is a happy and lasting feeling。 Fear; the dominant emotion of downtrends; is sharper and more violent。 Professionals are more likely to buy puts because of shorter exposure to time decay。 When you expect a major downside reversal; buying a put can be a sensible trade。 The same principles apply to calls; but uptrends are better traded with stocks。
价格在下跌时的跌幅一般是上涨时的2倍。上涨时的主要情绪是贪婪。下跌时的主要情绪是恐惧,更厉害,更剧烈。专业人士喜欢买看跌期权,因为时间损耗短。当你期待主趋势反转时,买看跌期权是合理的。看涨期权也是同样的原理,但上涨的趋势还是买股票好。
A trader who expects a downswing must decide which put to buy。 The best choice is counterintuitive and different from what most people get。
期待下跌的交易者要决定买什么样的看跌期权。最好是和直觉不同的,和别人不一样的。
Estimate how low you expect a stock to collapse。 A put is worth buying only if you expect a waterfall decline。
要估计股票会跌到哪里。只有在崩跌时看跌期权才值得买。
Avoid puts with more than two months of life。 Buying puts makes sense only when you expect a sharp decline。 If you anticipate a drawn…out downtrend; it is better to sell short the underlying security。
要避免买存续期超过2个月的看跌期权。只有在期待崩跌时买入看跌期权才有意义。如果你希望会长期下跌,那么最好是做空标的证券。
Look for cheap puts whose price reflects no hope。 Move your finger down the column of put strikes。 The lower you go; the cheaper the puts。 At first; each time you drop to the next strike price; a put is 25% or even 35% cheaper than the previous level。 Eventually you e to the strike level at which you would only save a tiny fraction of price。 This shows that all hope has been squeezed out of that put; and it is priced like a cheap lottery ticket。 That is the one you want!
寻找便宜的看跌期权,它们的价格反映了没有希望。顺着看跌期权向下找。越往下越便宜。首先,行权价越低一个层次,就意味着看跌期权比上一层次要便宜25%——35%。最后一个层次价格最便宜。这表明所有的希望都被挤没了,这个价格和买彩票差不多。你就要这样的!
Buying a very cheap; far…out…of…the…money put is counterintuitive。 It is so far…out…of…the…money and has so little life left in it that it seems likely to expire worthless。 You can’t place a stop on it; so if you’re wrong; the entire premium will go up in smoke。 Why not buy a put closer to the money?
买一个便宜的,不值钱的看跌期权是违反只觉的。不值钱的,没有多少生命的看起来要到期作废了。你不能止损,如果你错了,所有的钱就化成烟了。为什么不买值钱的看跌期权?
The only time to buy a put is when you’re shooting for an exceptional gain from a major reversal。 In an ordinary downtrend it’s better to short stocks。 Cheap far…out…of…the…money puts provide the most bang for the buck。 Aim for a 10…fold gain or better; rather than the usual 2:1 or 3:1 ratio。 Returns like these allow you to be wrong on a string of trades; yet e out ahead in the end。 Catching one major reversal will make up for a string of losses and leave you very profitable。
买看跌期权的唯一机会是当你寻找从主要的反转赚钱时买入。在普通的下跌中,最好做空股票。不值钱的看跌期权能赚大钱。目标是10倍,或更多,不是通常的2倍或3倍。想取得这样的回报,你可以连续多次犯错,但最终结果要赚钱。抓住一次重大反转会弥补一连串的亏损,并赚很多利润。
The best options tra
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